Opening Analysis / Round 1 / Round 2 / Round 3 / Final

Round 2 Analysis
Round two's story was similar to round one, with the favourites winning and no major upsets throwing a wrench in the pool. With nearly 60 per cent of the pool's picks still active into round three, there is a lot of pool yet to be played out.

Ray Emery leads all players with 20 pool points after round 2.
Ray Emery leads all players with 20 pool points after round 2.
Standings in flux
The exciting part of round two was the amount of change in the standings - from the first game to the last. We saw major rises by some poolies - Scott Hamilton rose from 70th into the top ten, among other examples - and major falls by others. This fluctuation, along with the amount of picks still remaining, bodes well for an exciting round three. Don't count yourself out just yet!

Expect new contenders to emerge
One near-constant since the middle of round one has been the pool's leader, Keith Chappell. With the exception of only a couple days, when Ron Wener grabbed the perch, Keith has held a slim lead - and he expanded the lead in the final days of the round. But with three players eliminated and others poolies on the rise, Keith's days on top might be numbered. Other top-five regulars including Ron, Scott Strachan, Alan Eng and Marilyn Beaulieu are likely to fall out of the running.

Round three should see some new blood at the top - and the field is wide open. Gerald Wexler is in the strongest position with eight players remaining and only six points back. Others in the vicinity with eight players include the trio of Carolinans in the UNC division (Terry Hoey, Mike Newbauer, and Stuart Klein), along with Candace Barry and Scott Hamilton. A little further behind but still with a full nine-player entry are Patrick Gill and Sophie Wexler.

The round 3 projections are at the bottom of the page.

Good picking
Most years we are talking about the "woulda, shoulda" players who were not picked by anyone, but would have made an impact. This year, other than Marty Turco's three shutouts in his round one defeat, not a single player among the top forwards or defensemen was ignored by poolies. The closest candidate would be Anaheim's Sami Pahlsson, with seven points. Some surprises might develop by the time the Cup is awarded, but so far we're seeing one of the most accurately picked pools on record. (Yes, it does help that there are 132 entries.) The top dark horse pick after round two is Michael Nylander, picked twice and collecting 13 points.

Mitch's predictions
After going 3-1 in round two (San Jose being my only mistake) and 10-2 overall I'm now very confident I'll nail it the rest of the way. Of course the TSN experts have similarly impressive results so maybe it's simply because the picks have been easy this year. Anyways, I'm calling Ottawa and Anaheim to meet in the final.

Who's Hot and Who's Not:
Hot Pos. Gain (R1, R2)   Hot Rd2 Pts.
Jason Roy 76 (100,24)   Gerald Wexler 54 
Patrick Provost 70 (94,24)   Scott Strachan 52
Max-Zeb Jackaman-Slipacoff 68 (119,51)   Scott Hamilton 49
Patrick Gill 65 (80,15)   Candace Barry 48
Andrew Hamilton 62 (109,47)   Patrick Gill 48
Not Pos. Loss (R1, R2)   Not Rd2 Pts.
Grace Yu 92 (11,103)   Corgan Rikkonen 0
Rica French 78 (18,96)   Vince Tsang 0
Steve Kennedy 73 (18,91)   Steve Sealy 1
Jason Collette 70 (24,94)   Einar Gainforth Beech 7
Kevin Clarke 66 (37,103)   Katie Douglas 7

Team and Player Stats:
Teams          
IN  Players picked Cups  OUT (R2) Players picked Cups 
Buffalo 258 54 San Jose 98 7
Anaheim 212 14 Vancouver 74 10
Detroit 134 11 New Jersey 62 3
Ottawa 96 12 NY Rangers 19 0
Top Players                    
Forwards Team Pts Picks Alive   Defense Team Pts Picks Alive
Scott Gomez NJD 14 5     Chris Pronger ANA 11 51 Y
Dany Heatley OTT 14 46 Y   Nicklas Lidstrom DET 11 51 Y
Michael Nylander NYR 13 2     Brian Rafalski NJD 8 8
Jason Spezza OTT 12 26 Y   Michal Rozsival NYR 7 1  
Jaromir Jagr NYR 11 12     Mattias Ohlund VAN 7 1  
Daniel Alfredsson OTT 11 96 Y   Brian Campbell BUF 7 9 Y
Pavel Datsyuk DET 11 37 Y   Goalies Team Pts Picks Alive
Joe Thornton SAN 11 49   Ray Emery OTT 20 4 Y
Daniel Briere BUF 11 96 Y   Marty Turco DAL 18 0
Dominik Hasek DET 13 17 Y

Projected Round 3 Standings

Here are the projected scores and rankings for after round 3. The projection assumes (wrongly, of course) that the players you have alive will produce in round 3 at the same average rate as in rounds 1 and 2, so Dominik Hasek would get half a shutout and four wins.

(R1)
(R2)
Proj. Rank
Name
Score
Alive
Cup
Rd3 Projection
111Keith Chappell1016OTT140
4932Gerald Wexler958DET138
2423Scott Strachan966OTT133
2974Terry Hoey908BUF130
80155Patrick Gill869OTT129
60155Sophie Wexler869DET129
4987Candace Barry898DET128
737Becke Gainforth956OTT128
7099Scott Hamilton888BUF126
491210Stuart Klein878ANA125
181210Mike Newbauer878OTT125
24610Alan Eng916OTT125
942413Patrick Provost839BUF124
371513Mike Patterson868BUF124
801915Colin Kennedy858ANA122
602415Gary Arsenault838DET122
4515Marilyn Beaulieu936NJD122
943318Kyle Hogg809ANA120
111218Karen Savoie876PIT120
2920Ron Wener886BUF118
24920David Loop886ANA118
151920Steve Tivey856BUF118
1004223George Smith779ANA116
1002423Jason Roy837OTT116
601525Russell Reed866BUF115
802225Sandy Morrison846OTT115
292827Mohan Krishnamoorthy827BUF114
183027Brendan Browne817BUF114
71929Norma Wexler856NJD113
603329Alvin Gainforth806DET113
1195131Max-Zeb Jackaman-Slipacoff759BUF112
372831Al Champsi827BUF112
803331Jean-Pierre Reilly807BUF112
1095234George Crothers749BUF111
494235Steven Hawley778BUF110
183035Mary Sue Strickland817BUF110
493935Steve McInnes797BUF110
493935Shane Kozlowich797BUF110
494235Andy Hotson777BUF110
42235Mike van Steendelaar845BUF110
182435Jamie-Lynn Patterson835BUF110
1094742Andrew Hamilton767OTT109
63943Tony Ruffolo796BUF108
244743Tracy Fellingham766PIT108
153345Lori-Ann Robinson806ANA106
605946Brad MacDonald737BUF105
113046Judah Gould815BUF105
295248Joel Elash747BUF104
1095948Dave Coady737BUF104
805248Sam Fielding746OTT104
293348Aaron Pretto805SAN104
494252Hank Shannon775VAN103
1005953Alison Stewart736OTT102
1146953Mitch Wexler706OTT102
293353Richard Rikkonen805BUF102
494756Sean Smith766BUF100
605256Blair Miller746SAN100
1006956Jerry Rynda706BUF100
807459Mike De Petrillo688ANA98
707359Jason Hall697BUF98
805959Peter Sadlier-Brown736SAN98
295259Bo Chen745DET98
705263Chris Smith746BUF97
295963Jeff Hammond735DET97
805965Davie Lantz736ANA96
154265Tim Smith775BUF96
495965Richard Gretzinger735BUF96
808068Renee Loubert677BUF95
706668Tony Vanderdrift716SAN95
1006968Georgina Hubbard706DET95
377468Camillo Cipriano686BUF95
1279172Joel Pollock638ANA94
707472Dan Stanhope686BUF94
75272Mark Fahey744DET94
608375Georgia Strachan667BUF93
808076Cassandra Jackaman676BUF92
498476Guy Maratta656DET92
76976Lee Beech705BUF92
377479Norrin Ripsman686ANA90
1008479Ian Winsor656BUF90
708879Andrew Tompkins646DET90
378879Art French646BUF90
24779Noah Pollock763BUF90
297484Jonas Struthers685BUF88
11410385Deric Chow596BUF83
949485Barrett Boitson625BUF83
709187Jen Gilliland635BUF82
116687Dennis Clayton713ANA82
378089Louie Marrone673SAN80
808489Ted Kennedy653VAN80
378491Andrew Ryan653NAS79
12511292Derek McBean556BUF78
189692Rica French614PIT78
609792Vince Galante604BUF78
808892Martha Ricketts643BUF78
376692Alexander Blasioli712SAN78
10010897Julian Vardy574PIT76
377497Jordana Wexler683SAN76
379797Gilles Duguay603VAN76
129114100Michel Melanson536BUF74
119114100Alex Di Noia535PIT74
8097100Alex Delo604BUF74
60110100Emma Fielding564NAS74
1891100Steve Kennedy633VAN74
70103100Duncan Campbell593VAN74
2494106Jason Collette623PIT73
3797106Cavin Bennett603MIN73
109108108Puya Vakili-Zad574ANA72
10097108Karen Patterson602VAN72
7097110Jacques Lirette603PIT71
131121111Joy Smith479ANA70
37103111Kevin Clarke593BUF70
94110113Ashleigh Harrington563VAN67
94107114Pierre Gainforth Beech583PIT66
60113114Aron Slipacoff543VAN66
128114114Brad Hotson533BUF66
70118114Laura Maratta523VAN66
109118118Richard Ciano523PIT63
94114119Brenden Kennedy532PIT61
114121120Sharon Boitson473CGY60
119123121David Lester463BUF59
11103121Grace Yu590NJD59
114125123Ella Joan453BUF56
125125123Mike Walsh453ATL56
100123125Della Santin462VAN53
114127126Katie Douglas 413CGY50
131128126Sean Sargent393ANA50
119120128Vicki Lewis480CGY48
130130129Einar Gainforth Beech333NAS42
80128130Steve Sealy390NAS39
119130131Vince Tsang330MIN33
119130131Corgan Rikkonen330PIT33







Comments, questions, suggestions? E-mail Mitch.